Investing in Semiconductor Stocks: Three Chipmakers on the Upswing

Deborah Baratz writes: Global semiconductor sales have been pretty listless lately, but new data suggests a turnaround is on the horizon for this sector.

In fact, one new forecast by research firm IDC predicts the rate of growth in the semiconductor sector could potentially double in the latter part of this year.

For semiconductor stocks, this newfound growth could provide a big lift in profits.

Even smaller chipmakers may have suitors knocking on their doors for takeovers as they look to increase their market share.

What does this mean for investors?

Now is the time to start looking for the next big winner in semiconductors.

Here’s why.

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The 10 Worst Semiconductor Stocks of 2011

If your semiconductor stock showed huge gains in 2010, it probably showed equally huge losses in 2011. That’s because it’s been a miserable year for semiconductor investors, and for last year’s highfliers. The cyclical industry is prone to swings and wild overcorrections in both positive and negative directions. Still, if you’re a long-time veteran of the industry, it’s been far worse: 2011 wasn’t nearly as bad as late 2001, when semiconductor spending dipped more than 40% year-over-year. Nor was it as bad as early 2009, when year-over-year spending sank 30%.

Overall, semiconductor sales are expected to grow 1.3% this year, according to industry association WSTS. That’d mark the first time semiconductor sales surpass $300 billion annually, but it’d also represent a below-average growth rate. More importantly, it’d mean that semiconductor sales are the weakest of any technology subsector. Since technology in general underperformed other sectors this year, that’s a recipe for steep losses.

And the steep losses rained down on the sector after a promising start to the year. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index — a rough proxy for the industry — is off 11.9% on the year, far worse than the Nasdaq’s 2.4% decline.

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