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North America-based manufacturers of semiconductor equipment posted $1.17 billion in orders worldwide in September 2014 (three-month average basis) and a book-to-bill ratio of 0.94, according to the September EMDS Book-to-Bill Report published today by SEMI.   A book-to-bill of 0.94 means that $94 worth of orders were received for every $100 of product billed for the month.

The three-month average of worldwide bookings in September 2014 was $1.17 billion. The bookings figure is 12.9 percent lower than the final August 2014 level of $1.35 billion, and is 18.1 percent higher than the September 2013 order level of $992.8 million.

The three-month average of worldwide billings in September 2014 was $1.25 billion. The billings figure is 3.3 percent lower than the final August 2014 level of $1.29 billion, and is 22.5 percent higher than the September 2013 billings level of $1.02 billion.

“Following 11 months of above parity book-to-bill ratios, the three-month average ratio declined in September,” said Denny McGuirk, president and CEO of SEMI.  “While order activity moderated, equipment spending this year is expected to be robust and remain on pace for double-digit year-over-year growth.”

The SEMI book-to-bill is a ratio of three-month moving averages of worldwide bookings and billings for North American-based semiconductor equipment manufacturers. Billings and bookings figures are in millions of U.S. dollars.

 

Billings
(3-mo. avg)

Bookings
(3-mo. avg)

Book-to-Bill

April 2014

$1,403.2

$1,443.0

1.03

May 2014

$1,407.8

$1,407.0

1.00

June 2014

$1,327.5

$1,455.0

1.10

July 2014

$1,319.1

$1,417.1

1.07

August 2014 (final)

$1,293.4

$1,346.1

1.04

September 2014 (prelim)

$1,250.4

$1,172.8

0.94

Source: SEMI, October 2014

IBM and GLOBALFOUNDRIES today announced that GLOBALFOUNDRIES will acquire IBM’s global commercial semiconductor technology business, including IBM’s intellectual property, technologists and technologies.

IBM will pay GLOBALFOUNDRIES $1.5 billion in cash over the next three years to take the chip operations off its hands. The cash consideration will be adjusted by the amount of working capital which is estimated to be $200 million.

Workers prep Global Foundries' newest semiconductor factory, "Fab 8" in Saratoga County, New York State Source: IBM

Workers prep Global Foundries’ newest semiconductor factory, “Fab 8” in Saratoga County, New York State. Source: IBM

GLOBALFOUNDRIES will also become IBM’s exclusive server processor semiconductor technology provider for 22nm, 14nm and 10nm semiconductors for the next 10 years.

It its official statement, IBM said the agreement will enable the company to further focus on fundamental semiconductor research and the development of future cloud, mobile, big data analytics, and secure transaction-optimized systems. IBM will continue its previously announced $3 billion investment over five years for semiconductor technology research to lead in the next generation of computing. GLOBALFOUNDRIES will have primary access to the research that results from this investment through joint collaboration at the Colleges of Nanoscale Science and Engineering (CNSE), SUNY Polytechnic Institute, in Albany, N.Y.

Through the acquisition, GLOBALFOUNDRIES will gain substantial intellectual property including thousands of patents, making GLOBALFOUNDRIES the holder of one of the largest semiconductor patent portfolios in the world.

GLOBALFOUNDRIES will acquire and operate existing IBM semiconductor manufacturing operations and facilities in East Fishkill, New York and Essex Junction, Vermont, adding capacity to serve its customers and thousands of jobs to GLOBALFOUNDRIES’ workforce. GLOBALFOUNDRIES plans to provide employment opportunities for substantially all IBM employees at the two facilities who are part of the transferred businesses, except for a team of semiconductor server group employees who will remain with IBM. After the close of this transaction, GLOBALFOUNDRIES will be the largest semiconductor technology manufacturing employer in the Northeast.

GLOBALFOUNDRIES will also acquire IBM’s commercial microelectronics business, which includes ASIC and specialty foundry, manufacturing and related operations and sales. GLOBALFOUNDRIES plans to invest to grow these businesses.

IBM took a related pre-tax charge of $4.7 billion in its third quarter. It also reported a 4 percent drop in revenue on Monday.

What the analysts are saying

In terms of its 14nm FinFET collaboration with Samsung, the acquisition and the sudden influx of top talent from IBM will certainly help get GLOBALFOUNDRIES up to speed, Robert Maire of Semiconductor Advisors LLC reported.

“Even though Samsung still holds the keys and most of the cards in their relationship, the addition of the IBM horsepower does help even things a little bit even though IBM hasn’t been a serious player in the semiconductor business for quite a while it still has a deep well of expertise,” said Mr. Maire.

Currently, analysts at Summit Research Partners are not concerned about the long-term financial impact of the acquisition.

“We think that at present, when the transfer of IBM’s chip manufacturing assets to GLOBALFOUNDRIES is done, this is a non-event to the semiconductor industry for the most part,”  said Srini Sundararajan, Semiconductor, Semi-cap Equipment Analyst at Summit Research Partners. “That is sad considering that there were times in the 90s that IBM and Intel competed with one another over bragging rights for technological advancements.”

“In terms of potential impact to semiconductor equipment companies, there would likely be minimal to no impact as potential capex spend would be absorbed within the capex spend of Global Foundries,” Mr. Sundararajan concluded.

By Bettina Weiss, VP, Business Development, SEMI

The 2nd annual SEMI Vietnam Semiconductor Strategy Summit, co-organized with the Saigon Hi-Tech Park and with FabMax as the premier sponsor, was held September 16-17, 2014 in Ho Chi Minh City. This year’s conference drew over 160 attendees from Vietnam, Europe, U.S. and other Southeast Asian countries for a full day of presentations, panel discussions, networking opportunities and interactions with government, the Ho Chi Minh City Semiconductor Industry Association (HSIA) and the Saigon Hi-Tech Park (SHTP).

Fig 1

 

Building on the success of the inaugural Summit in September of 2013, attendees and speakers commented on the sense of progress and growing vitality of the emerging semiconductor manufacturing ecosystem in Vietnam. In his welcome remarks, Kai Fai Ng, president, SEMI Southeast Asia spoke to the importance of Vietnam in Southeast Asia, and SEMI’s plans to facilitate business interactions between Vietnamese and Southeast Asian companies, support efforts in workforce development and education, and continue to strengthen the relationship with key stakeholders in the country.

Of particular interest to the audience was the keynote presentation by Dr. Pham Ba Tuan, senior expert at CNS, the company tasked with executing the 200mm fab project in Saigon Hi-Tech Park that was announced last year. Tuan stressed the importance of domestically manufactured devices to satisfy a rapidly growing need in Vietnam thanks to the country’s young population and high university graduation rates. Tuan indicated that, depending on the product choice and the cost structure of the new wafer fab, at least 5,000 wafer starts per months would be needed. Fab capacity would be a function of product mix, so wafer starts need to be adjustable from 5,000 to 10,000 wafer starts per month. This would necessitate an investment of “a few million USD” to enable equipment purchases, fab construction and infrastructure readiness.

Source: Saigon Industry Corporation (CNS)

Source: Saigon Industry Corporation (CNS)

Tuan emphasized the fact that the choice of technology was a crucial factor for the wafer fab, since it influences investment volume, product portfolio, as well as the ability to develop a skilled workforce throughout the manufacturing process. The choice for the wafer fab in Saigon Hi-Tech Park is 180nm on 200mm wafers, a node and substrate size choice that will enable the production of a wide variety of products. According to CNS, revenue from all products made in technologies down to 180nm already account for US$1 billion.

Fig 3

The project timeline presented at the SEMI conference shows construction to begin in Q3 2015 and equipment move-in starting in Q2 2016.

Fig 4

The CNS presentation was followed by a brief company introduction to NXP delivered by Mr. Frederic Vincentini.

Kicking of the second session on Semiconductor Manufacturing in Vietnam, Ms. Sherry Boger, general manager, Intel Vietnam, provided an update on Intel’s plans to extend the production of flagship products to Vietnam — such as the Haswell microprocessor, which was recently announced. Intel’s Vietnam facility is the largest assembly and test facility in the global Intel network, employing over 3,000 Vietnamese employees when fully ramped.

Fab-Finder’s Todd Curtis shared his company’s learning experiences when they started doing business in Vietnam. He stated that the Fab-Finder management team brought over 100 years of semiconductor experience to the table — but 0 years in this country, making it imperative to rapidly get up to speed with respect to laws and taxes, cultural differences and sensitivities and different business practices. Mr. Curtis made a point of thanking his Vietnamese business partners, legal and tax advisors, HSIA and the Saigon Hi-Tech Park for the education they provided.

Prof. Cor Claeys of Imec presented Imec’s Open Innovation Model. Given the ever shrinking features, the complexity of new devices and applications and the rising cost in R&D, Claeys stressed the need for collaborative efforts in the semiconductor industry in order to keep up with the increasing need and speed of innovation.

Open Innovation

Source: Samsung

Source: Samsung

Contrasting Imec’s Open Innovation model with the traditional R&D approach – where most of the R&D is done in-house, no IP is shared and projects occur in silos –Claeys emphasized the need to share risk, cost, talent and IP among R&D partners in order to jointly reap the benefits of an accelerated, cost-effective RD activity.

This discussion provided a nice introduction into two presentations in the afternoon addressing technology transfers, IP creation and protection. Ms. Radhika Snirivasan, Ph.D., from IBM talked about the process by which technology transfers occur, and how opportunities and risks can be managed. Snirivasan described technology transfers as “quintessential” to any technology installation and shared IBM’s methodology, from preparation and training through installation and debug, qualification and yield learning to product qualification and ramp. She pointed to the added value when IP transfers are managed in highly customizable and flexible scenarios, providing protection and safeguards against risks such as the transfer infrastructure, adequacy of documentation and lack of technology readiness/maturity.

Fig 6

Dr. John Schmitz of NXP elaborated on the subject by presenting NXP’s view on the growing importance of Intellectual Property Rights (IPRs) since knowledge has become a critical driver in the economy. “IPRs are the economical manifestation of technical and business knowledge,” said Schmitz, stressing that IPRs provide a mechanism of protection against misuse. Speaking to current and future patent portfolios, he stated the requirement for future patents to be aligned with the overall company strategy, but stressed the inherent risk of having to look at least 5 years ahead — a mandate he contrasted with the product lifecycle of mobile phones, which is currently about 6 months.

The last formal presentation of the day was M+W Group’s “Integrated Approach for Semiconductor Wafer Fab Implementation,” presented by Mr. Andreas Authenrieth, M+W Group. His presentation focused on the prerequisites for a sustainable and cost-effective fab design, with particular emphasis on energy efficiency, environmental technology and the use of renewable energy. Authenrieth also included the use of secondary equipment in his presentation, explaining the importance of correlating tool specifications with technology requirements, paying close attention to consumables and spares and managing equipment testing and documentation. These considerations could be of particular importance for the CNS wafer fab project.

The 2nd annual SEMI Vietnam Semiconductor Strategy Summit concluded with two panel discussions: The first panel – investing and operating in the technology sector in Vietnam – was moderated by Eduard Hoeberichts, FabMax and included two presentations which addressed both the side of the operator and the side of the government. Johnny Choo of ON Semiconductor shared the experience as an operator of two back-end facilities in Vietnam and highlighted the very positive experience over the last several years as well as some of the areas for potential improvement.

This perspective was consistent with the observations that Sherry Boger of Intel made in the morning presentation. Dr. Le Hoai Quoc as president of Saigon High Tech Park presented the capabilities of the High Tech Park as well as the general government support in various areas for operators and new investors in Vietnam. The “two sides of the coin” perspective led to a lively discussion at the end of the panel session.

Fig 7

 

The second panel – Education and Workforce Development – was moderated by Ms. Bettina Weiss, SEMI, and included: Ms. Sherry Boger, Intel Vietnam; Dr. Carel von der Poel, Technical University Delft; Dr. Pham Ba Tuan, CNS; and Cao Nguyen, ON Semiconductor. The importance of developing a skilled talent pool in Vietnam was also a prominent topic in SEMI’s 2013 Vietnam Semiconductor Strategy Summit. Panelists engaged in a lively debate about the need to do more for women in high tech, partnerships with international universities and special programs like HEEAP (Higher Engineering Education Alliance Program) which Intel is very actively supporting, as well as the Technical University Delft/DIMES Center, which has been engaged with Vietnam’s Hanoi University of Technology, Hanoi University of Civil Engineering and the Ministry of Science and Technology in various programs. According to Dr. van der Poel, it would be fairly easy to extend these programs to the semiconductor space, as Vietnam starts focusing on workforce readiness in this sector.

At the networking reception, attendees and speakers alike commented on the sense of progress and excitement over the last 12 months. Local attendees in particular appreciated the rich presentations and perspectives from the conference speakers, and international companies, including our sponsors, left with a lot of new contacts and business opportunities in country — and the sense that Vietnam is very serious about becoming a stakeholder in the global semiconductor market.

SEMI is grateful for the support of the sponsoring companies who helped make this year’s Summit possible:  FabMax, CNS, M+W Group, Advantest, Fab-Finder, GES, Lam Research, NXP, QAM, and Surplus Global.

Intermolecular, Inc. announced this week that Dr. Bruce McWilliams has been appointed president and chief executive officer. David Lazovsky has resigned as president and chief executive officer and from the Board of Directors to pursue other interests.

“We are grateful to Dave for his many years of service in leading Intermolecular from its inception,” said Bruce McWilliams. “I have been on the board of Intermolecular since its earliest stages, and am excited about the opportunity to build on the foundation that Dave created. I know the Intermolecular team and technologies well, and am looking forward to working with our customers to realize the value of our unique R&D platform and capabilities.”

Dr. McWilliams has served on the Intermolecular board since 2005 and as the chairman of the Board of Directors since June 2014. He most recently served as the chief executive officer of SuVolta from June 2009, and was the chief executive officer of Tessera from 1999 to 2008. He has also worked in the fields of silicon chip-based display, multi-chip module manufacturing and solar heating technology. Dr. McWilliams holds B.S., M.S. and Ph.D. degrees in physics from Carnegie Mellon University.

This week, AMD announced that its board of directors has appointed Dr. Lisa Su as president and chief executive officer and member of the board of directors, effective immediately. Dr. Su, 44, succeeds Rory Read, 52, who has stepped down as president and chief executive officer, and member of the board of directors, as part of a transition plan. Read will support the transition in an advisory role, remaining with the company through the end of 2014.

“Leadership succession planning has been a joint effort between Rory and the board and we felt that Lisa’s expertise and proven leadership in the global semiconductor industry make this an ideal time for her to lead the company,” said Bruce Claflin, chairman of AMD’s board of directors. “The board looks forward to continuing to work with Lisa and the rest of the senior management team to build on the company’s momentum. I would also like to thank Rory for his many accomplishments and contributions positioning AMD for long-term success by helping to create a strong foundation and clear path to re-establish the company’s growth and profitability.”

Commenting on her appointment, Dr. Su said, “I am deeply honored to have this opportunity to lead AMD during this important time of transformation. Our world-class technology assets combined with the incredible talent and passion of the AMD team provide us with a unique opportunity to shape the future of computing. I look forward to expanding on the strong foundation we have built under Rory’s leadership as we develop industry-leading technologies and products for a diverse set of markets to drive sustainable and profitable growth.”

During the last three years, AMD has made significant progress in financial and operational performance. The company returned to non-GAAP profitability and materially diversified its business. Since 2012, AMD has reduced operating expenditures by approximately 30 percent and maintained cash at near an optimal level of $1 billion. AMD also improved its balance sheet by re-profiling its debt with no significant debt coming due until 2019.

Read stated, “I am grateful to have had the opportunity to lead such a talented team and proud of what we have accomplished during such an important chapter in the company’s history. Together, we have established the right strategy to enable AMD to continue to grow and transform. I am confident that Lisa is the right leader to drive AMD forward.”

The Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA), representing U.S. leadership in semiconductor manufacturing and design, today announced that worldwide sales of semiconductors reached $28.4 billion for the month of August 2014, an increase of 9.4 percent from the August 2013 total of $26 billion and an uptick of 1.3 percent over the July 2014 total of $28.1 billion. Year-to-date sales through August are 10.1 percent higher than they were at the same point in 2013. All monthly sales numbers are compiled by the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) organization and represent a three-month moving average.

“The global semiconductor market continued to demonstrate broad and sustained strength in August, and sales remain well ahead of last year’s pace,” said Brian Toohey, president and CEO, Semiconductor Industry Association. “Demand is strong across nearly all semiconductor product categories, and the industry has now posted sequential monthly growth for six consecutive months, thanks in part to continued strength in the Americas market.”

Toohey also noted that continued U.S. semiconductor industry strength bodes well for the overall U.S. economy. He cited an SIA whitepaper released this week that found that the U.S. semiconductor industry is one of the top contributors to U.S. economic growth of any domestic manufacturing industry. To learn more, read the SIA whitepaper here.

Regionally, year-to-year sales increased in Asia Pacific (12.3 percent), Europe (10.9 percent), and the Americas (7 percent), but decreased slightly in Japan (-1.7 percent). Sales were up compared to the previous month in the Americas (2.3 percent) and Asia Pacific (1.7 percent), held flat in Japan, and decreased slightly in Europe (-1.3 percent). Sales increased across all regions for the three-month period from June to August compared to the previous three-month period from March to May.

August 2014

Billions

Month-to-Month Sales

Market Last Month Current Month % Change
Americas

5.43

5.55

2.3%

Europe

3.27

3.23

-1.3%

Japan

2.99

2.99

0.0%

Asia Pacific

16.38

16.66

1.7%

Total

28.07

28.44

1.3%

Year-to-Year Sales

Market Last Year Current Month % Change
Americas

5.19

5.55

7.0%

Europe

2.91

3.23

10.9%

Japan

3.05

2.99

-1.7%

Asia Pacific

14.83

16.66

12.3%

Total

25.98

28.44

9.4%

Three-Month-Moving Average Sales

Market Mar/Apr/May June/July/August % Change
Americas

5.07

5.55

9.6%

Europe

3.13

3.23

3.4%

Japan

2.87

2.99

4.2%

Asia Pacific

15.71

16.66

6.0%

Total

26.78

28.44

6.2%

 

According to the recently published TechSci Research report, “United States Photomask Market Forecast & Opportunities, 2019“, the photomask market in the United States is forecast to reach $474.58 billion by 2019. The Western region dominates the photomask market in the US, in terms of revenue share, due to the presence of a large number of semiconductor and FPD manufacturing facilities in the region.

Besides widespread usage in the semiconductor industry, the FPD application segment accounted for the largest revenue share in the US photomask market in 2013, where Hoya Corporation emerged as leading player in the country, in terms of photomask shipments for FPD application. While photomasks are widely used in the manufacture of TFT-LCD display panels, growth in LED and Laser panel display markets is expected to benefit the overall demand for photomasks in the FPD industry in the US, over the next five years.

Photomasks are key tools used in the manufacture of semiconductors, Flat Panel Displays (FPD), optical devices and other products. The photomask market is largely dependent on growth in the overall semiconductor industry. During the last three years, the United States photomask market witnessed negative growth in terms of unit shipment, due to decline in the country’s semiconductor industry. The industry exhibited a negative growth of 3.6 percent during 2011-12, predominantly due to steep decline in the desktop PC and components markets. However, with anticipated recovery in the desktop PC market over the next five years, the US semiconductor industry is forecast to register moderate growth, thus positively influencing the photomask market.

“Photomasks with soda lime and quartz base glass material are two widely available types, where the former variety accounts for majority revenue share, in both value and volume terms. Soda lime base glass material photomasks are easily affected by temperature disparity, resulting in higher overlay error when loading multiple layers. However, soda lime base glass material photomask segment is expected to witness steady growth over the next five years due to relatively low pricing of this material. On the contrary, quartz base glass material photomasks are popular due to low impurity levels, which offer high optical and thermal characteristics. As a result, quartz base glass material photomask segment is expected to gain traction in the United States photomask market, despite being costlier than soda lime base glass material photomasks,” said Mr. Karan Chechi, Research Director with TechSci Research, a research based global management consulting firm.

“United States Photomask Market Forecast & Opportunities, 2019” has evaluated the future growth potential of the photomask market in the US and provides statistics and information on market structure, market size & share, market trends, etc. The report includes the United States photomask market projections and demand forecasting. The report is intended to provide cutting-edge market intelligence and help decision makers to take sound investment evaluation. Besides, the report also identifies and analyzes the emerging trends along with essential drivers, challenges and opportunities available in the United States photomask market.

Printed, flexible and organic electronic (PFOE) sensors can offer flexible form factors, larger area, lower cost, lower power, and better disposability compared to conventional sensors, key attributes for wearable applications. These attributes will allow them to grow into a $244 million market in wearables, according to Lux Research.

“With players from Apple to Intel to Kickstarter-funded start-ups launching devices, wearables are getting hot, but they still need to add functionality while trimming cost and size to really go mainstream,” said Jonathan Melnick, Lux Research Senior Analyst and lead author of the report titled, “Dial-Up Sensors: Printed, Flexible and Organic Sensors for the Things in the Internet of Things.”

“Printed, flexible, and organic electronic sensors can play a key enabling role for wearables — though many technology developers still need to improve performance, reliability and lifetime,” he added.

Lux Researchers analyzed the market for PFOE sensors across a wide variety of connected applications on the “Internet of Things” (IoT), include wearables, retail, transportation, and buildings. Among their findings:

  • Wearable, retail sensors drive growth. Wearable sensors, particularly for health and fitness, will be the biggest segment for PFOE sensors, but retail sensors — with a $117 million market in 2024 — will clock the fastest growth, a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 50% through the next decade.
  • Transportation, buildings remain small. Automotive and buildings, which have accounted for a lot of IoT hype, will be a bust for most PFOE sensors due to performance and reliability disadvantages and a limited addressable market.
  • PFOE sensors face opportunities and challenges. Six types of IoT sensors may be suited for PFOE technologies: motion, pressure, gas, temperature, electromagnetic and optical. For each, the value proposition comes down to manufacturing, form factor or size in each target application.

The report, titled “Dial-Up Sensors: Printed, Flexible and Organic Sensors for the Things in the Internet of Things,” is part of the Lux Research Printed, Flexible, and Organic Electronics Intelligence service.

North America-based manufacturers of semiconductor equipment posted $1.35 billion in orders worldwide in August 2014 (three-month average basis) and a book-to-bill ratio of 1.04, according to the August EMDS Book-to-Bill Report published today by SEMI.   A book-to-bill of 1.04 means that $104 worth of orders were received for every $100 of product billed for the month.

The three-month average of worldwide bookings in August 2014 was $1.35 billion. The bookings figure is 5.0 percent lower than the final July 2014 level of $1.42 billion, and is 26.5 percent higher than the August 2013 order level of $1.06 billion.

The three-month average of worldwide billings in August 2014 was $1.29 billion. The billings figure is 2.0 percent lower than the final July 2014 level of $1.32 billion, and is 19.5 percent higher than the August 2013 billings level of $1.08 billion.

“The SEMI Book-to-Bill ratio has been at or above parity for 11 consecutive months, and both current month bookings and billings continue to trend well above 2013 levels,” said Denny McGuirk, president and CEO of SEMI. “Strong equipment spending growth for the year is observed across the fab and test and assembly segments.”

The SEMI book-to-bill is a ratio of three-month moving averages of worldwide bookings and billings for North American-based semiconductor equipment manufacturers. Billings and bookings figures are in millions of U.S. dollars.

Billings
(3-mo. avg)

Bookings
(3-mo. avg)

Book-to-Bill

March 2014

$1,225.5

$1,297.7

1.06

April 2014

$1,403.2

$1,443.0

1.03

May 2014

$1,407.8

$1,407.0

1.00

June 2014

$1,327.5

$1,455.0

1.10

July 2014 (final)

$1,319.1

$1,417.1

1.07

August 2014 (prelim)

$1,293.3

$1,346.2

1.04

Source: SEMI, September 2014

The data contained in this release were compiled by David Powell, Inc., an independent financial services firm, without audit, from data submitted directly by the participants. SEMI and David Powell, Inc. assume no responsibility for the accuracy of the underlying data.

The data are contained in a monthly Book-to-Bill Report published by SEMI. The report tracks billings and bookings worldwide of North American-headquartered manufacturers of equipment used to manufacture semiconductor devices, not billings and bookings of the chips themselves. The Book-to-Bill report is one of three reports included with the SEMI Equipment Market Data Subscription (EMDS).

Front End fab equipment spending is projected to increase up to another 20 percent in 2015 to US$ 42 billion, according to most recent edition of the SEMI World Fab Forecast.  In 2015, equipment spending could mark a historical record high, surpassing the previous peak years of 2007 ($39 billion) and 2011 ($40 billion). In 2014, the report predicts growth of approximately 21 percent for Front End fab equipment spending, for total spending of $34.9 billion.

Seven companies are expected to spend $2 billion or more in 2014, representing almost 80 percent of all fab equipment spending for Front End facilities; a similar pattern is expected in 2015. About 90 percent of all equipment spending is for 300mm fabs.

According to the World Fab Forecast, in 2014, the five regions with the highest forecast spending on equipment are: Taiwan ($9.7 billion), Americas ($7.8 billion), Korea ($6.8 billion), China ($4.6 billion), and Japan ($1.9 billion). In 2015, the same regions will lead: Taiwan ($12.0 billion), Korea ($8.0 billion), Americas ($7.9 billion), China ($5.0 billion), and Japan ($4.2 billion). Spending in Europe is expected to nearly double (from 2014 to 2015) to $3.8 billion.

As Figure 1 illustrates, before the last economic downturn, most equipment spending was for new additional capacity. SEMI reports that in 2010 and 2011, fab equipment spending growth rates increased dramatically, but installed capacity grew by only 7 percent in both years. In 2012 and 2013, installed capacity grew 2 percent or less. Some industry segments, such as foundries, see continuous capacity expansion, while other segments show much lower growth — pulling down the total global growth rate for installed capacity to below the 3 percent mark.

World_fab_chart

Figure 1 illustrates fab equipment spending since 2003 and the change of installed capacity (excluding Discretes and LEDs).

 

In addition to foundries, the World Fab Forecast report captures capacities across all industry segments as well as System LSI, Analog, Power, MEMS, LED, Memory and Logic/MPUs.

DRAM is now slowly coming out of a declining trend with -3 percent in 2014 and reaching close to zero by end of 2015. Over the past three to four years, some major players have switched fabs from DRAM to System LSI or Flash while others have discontinued DRAM production completely, contributing to declining DRAM capacity.

The SEMI World Fab Forecast also provides detailed data about fab construction projects, with spending expected to total $6.7 billion in 2014 and over $5.0 billion in 2015. In 2014, the leading regions for construction spending are Taiwan, Americas, and Korea.  In 2015, the highest spending is expected in Europe/Mideast, followed by Taiwan and Japan.

Learn more about the SEMI World Fab Forecast which uses a bottom-up approach methodology, providing high-level summaries and graphs, and in-depth analyses of capital expenditures, capacities, technology and products by fab. Additionally, the database provides forecasts for the next 18 months by quarter. These tools are invaluable for understanding how the semiconductor manufacturing will look in 2014 and 2015, and learning more about capex for construction projects, fab equipping, technology levels, and products.

The SEMI Worldwide Semiconductor Equipment Market Subscription (WWSEMS) data tracks only new equipment for fabs and test and assembly and packaging houses.  The SEMI World Fab Forecast and its related Fab Database reports track any equipment needed to ramp fabs, upgrade technology nodes, and expand or change wafer size, including new equipment, used equipment, or in-house equipment. Learn more about the SEMI fab databases at: www.semi.org/MarketInfo/FabDatabase and www.youtube.com/user/SEMImktstats